2024-12-13 10:26:31
Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Argentina's MERVAL index closed up 3.94% to 2.288 million points.Brazil's Vale said it had reached an agreement with the US Department of Energy to provide financing of $282.9 million for the Louisiana plant until 2031.
US stocks "Seven Sisters" | Tesla and Google A closed up more than 5%, both hitting record highs. On Wednesday (December 11), in "Magnificent 7", Tesla closed up 5.93%, refreshing the record high of closing to 424.77 US dollars; Google's parent company, Alphabet(GOOGL), closed up 5.52%, the best performance for two consecutive days since 2015-accumulated up by about 11%, refreshing the historical high of closing to 195.40 US dollars; NVIDIA rose 3.14%, Amazon rose 2.32%, Meta Platforms rose 2.16%, Microsoft rose 1.28%, and Apple closed down 0.52% from its all-time high. In addition, AMD closed up 1.89%, TSMC ADR rose 1.39%, Berkshire Hathaway B shares closed down 0.24%, and Lilly fell 0.44%.Optimize the layout of branches. Brokers accelerate the transformation of wealth management. Recently, a number of brokers announced the cancellation of business offices to further optimize the layout of business outlets. According to insiders, the cancellation or establishment of a new business department of a securities company is mainly due to the strategic development of the company and the consideration of meeting the diversified needs of investors. Facing the increasingly fierce competition in the brokerage market, brokerage branches need to increase the application of financial technology in order to implement the wealth management strategy more effectively. (CSI)Coffee C dropped by over 4.3%, while new york Cocoa dropped by about 0.5%, leaving the highest level in history. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), ICE raw sugar futures rose by 1.33% and ICE white sugar futures rose by 0.50%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell 4.35% to 319.60 cents/pound, after reaching 348.35 cents at 19:51 on December 10th. Robusta coffee futures fell 2.50% to 5101 per ton, and reached 5694 on November 29th. New york cocoa futures fell 0.47% to US$ 10,507/ton; According to Bloomberg data, it has hit a record high for several days since it broke through the top of $8,984 on April 24 on November 22, and it reached 10,690 on December 10. London cocoa futures rose 0.30% to 8429, reaching 8500 at 17:30 Beijing time-also hitting a record high for several days in a row. ICE cotton futures rose 1.02%.
Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)The US dollar index rose on the 11th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.29% that day and closed at 106.710 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0492 US dollars, lower than 1.0527 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2745, down from $1.2774 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.65 yen, higher than 151.93 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8848 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8829 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4162 Canadian dollars, down from 1.4165 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 10.9791, higher than SEK 10.9750 in the previous trading day.Yibin Paper: There is uncertainty in the acquisition of 67% equity of Acetic Fiber Company. Yibin Paper issued a risk warning announcement, and the company plans to acquire 67% equity of Sichuan Pushi Cellulose Acetate Co., Ltd. held by related party Yibin Pushi Group Co., Ltd. As of July 31, 2024, according to the audited financial data, the total liabilities of Acetic Fiber Company were 971,116,800 yuan, and the asset-liability ratio was 88.31%. It is expected that related funds will flow out in the future. The transaction has yet to be reviewed and approved by the company's shareholders' meeting and procedures such as handling industrial and commercial change registration, and subsequent implementation is uncertain. According to the data released by CSI official website, the latest P/B ratio of papermaking and packaging owned by the company is 1.69 times, and the latest P/B ratio of the company is 8.43 times. The current P/B ratio of the company is quite different from that of the same industry.